A first-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the 7-seed Michigan State Spartans (19-12) hit the court as a 2-point favorite against the No. 10 seed USC Trojans (22-10) on Friday at Nationwide Arena. The matchup starts at 12:15 PM on CBS. Here's what you need to know about this 7-10 matchup before filling out your brackets.
Michigan State has a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over its past 10 games.
Six of Michigan State's past 10 contests have gone over the total.
Michigan State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 135.8 points over its last 10 games, 1.7 less than the 137.5 over/under in this matchup.
During its past 10 games, Michigan State's points per game average is 1.9 points higher per game than its season-long scoring average.
USC has gone 6-4 over its past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
In their past 10 games, the Trojans have gone over the total six times.
USC's average total over the last 10 games is 2.7 points greater than the 137.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
During the past 10 games, the Trojans are averaging 1.9 more points than their season average of 72.8 PPG.
Michigan State vs. USC Betting Trends
Michigan State has gone 15-16-0 ATS this season.
In games it has played as at least 2-point favorites this season, Michigan State is 9-8 against the spread.
The teams have hit the over in 16 of Michigan State's 32 games with a set total.
The 70.2 points per game the Spartans score are only 2.9 more points than the Trojans give up (67.3).
Michigan State has a 9-8 record against the spread and a 13-4 record overall when scoring more than 67.3 points.
USC is 17-15-0 against the spread this season.
In games this year in which it was an underdog by 2 points or more, USC has a 5-3 record against the spread.
A total of 17 of USC's 32 games with a set total have hit the over (53.1%).
The Trojans average 5.4 more points per game (72.8) than the Spartans allow (67.4).
When it scores more than 67.4 points, USC is 13-6 against the spread and 17-2 overall.
Michigan State vs. USC Over/Under Trends
Michigan State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (137.5 points) 14 times this season.
A total of 19 of USC's games have ended with a combined score higher than 137.5 points this season.
The point total for this matchup of 137.5 is 5.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for Michigan State (70.2) and USC (72.8).
These two teams surrender a combined 134.7 points per game, 2.8 less than this contest's over/under.
This season, the average over/under for Michigan State's games is 137.6 points, 0.1 more than the total of 137.5 points set for this contest.
A difference of 2.5 points separates the average over/under in USC's games (140 points) and this contest's over/under (137.5).
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